Sep
24
2012
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What’s Next Venezuela Election Update: September 24, 2012

caprilesychavez445a What’s Next Venezuela Election Update: September 24, 2012

Courtesy of: BBC Mundo

The Venezuelan elections are only two weeks away, and opposition candidate Henrique Capriles’ campaign has put himself in a good position to hand President Hugo Chavez his first electoral defeat. The two candidates have run very different campaigns, with Chávez running a populist campaign based on grandiose promises and Capriles a more granular, issue-oriented campaign, directing his rhetoric toward fixing the basic problems of the country. Chávez’s declining popularity, meanwhile, is partially the president’s own doing, as Venezuela’s crime rate has become one of the highest in his world since he came to power. Despite its successful campaign, the opposition is worried about violence and has voiced concerns that pro-government armed groups could seek to intimidate voters at the polls. Chávez has already shown that dirty tactics are not beneath him, having just last week blocked a Capriles event from the airwaves by calling a mandatory national broadcast of his own. Meanwhile, the possibility of a change in government is exciting investors, although Chávez’s increased election-year spending is taking Venezuela’s international reserves to record lows, making a post-election currency devaluation very likely.

An Emboldened Opposition Challenges One of Latin America’s Most Skilled Politicians, The Huffington Post

There is no doubt that the Oct. 7 presidential vote will be Hugo Chávez’s most difficult election to date.

Venezuela’s Capriles says he’ll fix country’s problems, not world peace, Reuters

Venezuela’s opposition standard bearer Henrique Capriles mocked President Hugo Chavez’s grandiose campaign pledges two weeks before the election, and vowed to fix voters’ daily problems if he wins.

Insight: Chavez plays populist card for Venezuela election, The Chicago Tribune

To understand why President Hugo Chavez may win yet another election in Venezuela next month, go and sit under the mango trees of Los Rastrojos or Sabaneta.

Venezuela crime out of control, imperiling Chavez re-election, USA Today

Margarita Hernandez has been waiting more than a year for someone to pay for the murder of her 18-year-old son, killed by thugs a few blocks from his home.

Venezuela Opposition Concerned About Armed Groups, ABC News

The campaign of Venezuelan presidential candidate Henrique Capriles said Tuesday that it has detected risks of trouble at dozens of polling centers in areas where Colombian rebels or other armed groups are known to operate.

Venezuela’s Capriles slams Chavez for blocking broadcast, Reuters

Shortly after Capriles began speaking to thousands of supporters in a Caracas park, Chavez launched a “chain broadcast” across all public access television in which he celebrated his government’s achievements and extolled the virtues of socialism.

Investors Turn Gaze to Venezuela Election, The Wall Street Journal

The approach of next month’s national elections has created a fervor among investors in the country’s bonds but is ringing alarm bells for some.

Venezuela’s Reserves Fall to Five-Year Low Before Vote, Bloomberg Businessweek

Venezuela’s international reserves last week fell to their lowest level in more than five years as the government boosts spending ahead of next month’s presidential election.

 
Sep
24
2012
Posted by
admin
Comments

What’s Next Venezuela Election Update: September 24, 2012

caprilesychavez445a What’s Next Venezuela Election Update: September 24, 2012

Courtesy of: BBC Mundo

The Venezuelan elections are only two weeks away, and opposition candidate Henrique Capriles’ campaign has put himself in a good position to hand President Hugo Chávez his first electoral defeat. The two candidates have run very different campaigns, with Chávez running a populist campaign based on grandiose promises and Capriles a more granular, issue-oriented campaign, directing his rhetoric toward fixing the basic problems of the country. Chávez’s declining popularity, meanwhile, is partially the president’s own doing, as Venezuela’s crime rate has become one of the highest in his world since he came to power. Despite its successful campaign, the opposition is worried about violence and has voiced concerns that pro-government armed groups could seek to intimidate voters at the polls. Chávez has already shown that dirty tactics are not beneath him, having just last week blocked a Capriles event from the airwaves by calling a mandatory national broadcast of his own. Meanwhile, the possibility of a change in government is exciting investors, although Chávez’s increased election-year spending is taking Venezuela’s international reserves to record lows, making a post-election currency devaluation very likely.

An Emboldened Opposition Challenges One of Latin America’s Most Skilled Politicians, The Huffington Post

There is no doubt that the Oct. 7 presidential vote will be Hugo Chávez’s most difficult election to date.

Venezuela’s Capriles says he’ll fix country’s problems, not world peace, Reuters

Venezuela’s opposition standard bearer Henrique Capriles mocked President Hugo Chavez’s grandiose campaign pledges two weeks before the election, and vowed to fix voters’ daily problems if he wins.

Insight: Chavez plays populist card for Venezuela election, The Chicago Tribune

To understand why President Hugo Chavez may win yet another election in Venezuela next month, go and sit under the mango trees of Los Rastrojos or Sabaneta.

Venezuela crime out of control, imperiling Chavez re-election, USA Today

Margarita Hernandez has been waiting more than a year for someone to pay for the murder of her 18-year-old son, killed by thugs a few blocks from his home.

Venezuela Opposition Concerned About Armed Groups, ABC News

The campaign of Venezuelan presidential candidate Henrique Capriles said Tuesday that it has detected risks of trouble at dozens of polling centers in areas where Colombian rebels or other armed groups are known to operate.

Venezuela’s Capriles slams Chavez for blocking broadcast, Reuters

Shortly after Capriles began speaking to thousands of supporters in a Caracas park, Chavez launched a “chain broadcast” across all public access television in which he celebrated his government’s achievements and extolled the virtues of socialism.

Investors Turn Gaze to Venezuela Election, The Wall Street Journal

The approach of next month’s national elections has created a fervor among investors in the country’s bonds but is ringing alarm bells for some.

Venezuela’s Reserves Fall to Five-Year Low Before Vote, Bloomberg Businessweek

Venezuela’s international reserves last week fell to their lowest level in more than five years as the government boosts spending ahead of next month’s presidential election.

 
Apr
30
2012
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ICYMI: In Venezuela, armed groups that pledge allegiance to Hugo Chavez rule over slum fiefdoms

The Washington Post
April 28, 2012

hugo chavez armed slums ICYMI: In Venezuela, armed groups that pledge allegiance to Hugo Chavez rule over slum fiefdoms

Closed-circuit cameras stare down from lampposts, allowing a heavily armed gang to keep watch over those who dare to enter one of Caracas’ most violent slums. At night, the gunmen cover their faces with ski masks and set up checkpoints, brandishing pistols and ordering residents to identify themselves as they enter the neighborhood.

Here in the 23 de Enero slum, several gangs that pledge allegiance to Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez are effectively the law, ruling over fiefdoms where police seldom venture.

Chavez has occasionally criticized the groups, but the authorities have largely left them alone, stoking accusations by critics that the government is tolerating an armed wing that could prove dangerous in a critical election year in Venezuela.

One of the biggest gangs calls itself “La Piedrita,” or “Little Rock.” In its neighborhood turf, murals are painted with slogans such as “For the defense of the revolution, vote for Chavez. La Piedrita.” One of the murals depicts Jesus and the Virgin Mary holding assault rifles.

Nearby, young men wearing olive green caps guard the barred gate of an apartment building that the gang uses as a command center. They don’t welcome visitors, especially journalists.

“Please leave peacefully,” one of the young men said cordially to a team of AP journalists. “From the high-ranking commanders to the low-ranking ones, no one is going to make any statements because you’re going to distort the information.”

As he spoke, another man pointed a 9-mm pistol at an AP photographer, ordering him and a driver to get off their motorcycle, and then demanding they get back on it and leave.

Some of Chavez’s opponents say the government tolerates such groups to use them when convenient to intimidate adversaries, and that it’s hard to predict how they would react if opposition presidential candidate Henrique Capriles were to defeat Chavez in the October presidential vote. Also unknown is how the gangs would react if Chavez were to succumb to his nearly yearlong fight with cancer.

What’s clear is that the gangs wield serious firepower, toting assault rifles that only security forces are legally permitted to carry in Venezuela.

“These illegally armed groups could at some point use those weapons to commit crimes or to destabilize any government,” said Luis Izquiel, who leads a security committee for the opposition. He said if Chavez is defeated and a new government takes over, “the authorities would have to go get those illegal weapons.”

Chavez, who is undergoing cancer treatment, is leading in the polls and has warned his opponents not to try to stir up violence. He has said previously that his socialist movement is “peaceful but armed.”

Chavez has also created a Bolivarian Militia, named after independence hero Simon Bolivar, with tens of thousands of civilian volunteers who participate in occasional boot camp training led by military officers.

Nearly a dozen armed gangs, however, appear to maintain looser ties to the government while controlling their neighborhoods in slums located less than a mile (1.5 kilometers) from the presidential palace.

Opposition politicians estimate about 300 people belong to armed pro-Chavez gangs, many of them young men. There is no evidence, however, that they have received weapons or training directly from the government as some Chavez opponents suspect.

Armed groups such as the “Tupamaros” and La Piedrita have existed for years in western Caracas, even before Chavez took office in 1999. But since then they have expanded, and new groups have emerged.

In rare public appearances, some leaders of the groups have vowed to zealously back Chavez’s socialist movement. Many of the groups call themselves “collectives,” and residents say some, such as La Piedrita, carry out service work including running a community kitchen for the poor. But in photos and videos posted on the Internet, gang members also show off weapons including pistols, AK-47s and R-15 rifles.

Members of La Piedrita have also held menacing protests at the offices of opposition newspapers and anti-Chavez television channel Globovision, hurling tear gas canisters at the buildings. Chavez has publicly disavowed the group in recent years, and in 2009 urged the authorities to detain La Piedrita’s leader, Valentin Santana.

Despite arrest warrants for homicide and other crimes, Santana remains free, and it’s unclear why he hasn’t been captured. Earlier this year, Santana even appeared on state television at a church event.

Wearing a camouflage cap with the bill turned up, he questioned the commitment of some government officials to socialist ideals and pledged “loyalty to our friend Chavez.”

Miguel Dao, a former police chief, criticized the authorities’ failure to act against such groups. “If you have the power and … you don’t do anything, you become an accomplice of these groups,” he said.

Dao said he doesn’t think the gangs would represent a major security risk if Chavez were to be forced from office either by illness or electoral defeat. But for now, he said, “I think these irregular groups are better armed than the police.”

The Justice Ministry did not respond to requests to ask Minister Tareck El Aissami about the government’s stance toward the pro-Chavez groups and the actions that authorities have taken in Santana’s case.

During the first half of his presidency, Chavez had publicly praised Lina Ron, a radical supporter with bleached blond hair who led one armed group.

When Chavez was briefly ousted in a 2002 coup, Ron and others took to the streets in protests that helped usher his return to the presidency. In subsequent years, armed gangs of “Chavistas” on motorcycles regularly circled opposition protests brandishing weapons and displaying the flags of their groups. Sometimes, they were spotted firing shots in the air for intimidation.

Such incidents had become less frequent in the past few years, and by the time Ron died in 2011, Chavez had distanced himself from her brash tactics, which included the protests outside opposition news media buildings.

But on March 4, gunfire erupted during an event where Chavez’s rival Capriles was visiting the traditionally pro-government neighborhood of Cotiza. Both political camps traded blame for the violence, in which one Capriles supporter was wounded. Members of the opposition said they saw some Chavez supporters with guns. No arrests have been made.

In January, La Piedrita found itself at the center of a national controversy when photos circulated on the Internet showing children posing with assault rifles at a ceremony organized by the group. After a public outcry, Chavez condemned the group and demanded the authorities take action.

“This hurts the revolution,” Chavez said.

Prosecutors responded by ordering two women to appear in court as suspects for posing the children with guns. Venezuelan law calls for prison terms of one to five years for adults who provide weapons to children.

The authorities also arrested three members of La Piedrita as suspects in the killing of a bodyguard who had been working for the Justice Ministry.

Criminologist Fermin Marmol Garcia said police and other security forces typically don’t enter 23 de Enero without notifying the armed groups. He said that shows the thugs effectively run a “micro-state” and operate like paramilitary groups, controlling their turf.

People who live in the slum have learned to cope with the pro-Chavez gunmen, some of whom claim to keep the neighborhoods safe from common criminals.

“After 10, 11 at night, you can’t be in the area of 23 de Enero because there are times when they put up checkpoints and stop cars,” said Manuel Mir, a community leader who has lived in the neighborhood all of his life. “They order anyone who isn’t from the area to get out. They’re masked and armed people. It’s unacceptable that groups of this sort are guaranteeing us security.”

To view this article on The Washington Post, please click here.