May
8
2013
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Nicolás Maduro off to an inauspicious start as Venezuela’s dubiously-elected president

Nicolas Maduro e1368042661461 Nicolás Maduro off to an inauspicious start as Venezuela’s dubiously elected president

Courtesy of: Agence France Presse

Almost immediately after Venezuela’s partisan electoral authority declared Nicolás Maduro the winner of last month’s presidential election, he and his ruling PSUV party faced a choice that may yet define Venezuela’s future for years to come. Reports of thousands of irregularities in the voting process, including suspicions of fraud, sparked fears about the election’s legitimacy. The actions of Maduro – who first consented to the opposition’s calls for a full and transparent recount, later issued a hasty retraction, and then began a crackdown on peaceful opposition protestors – has only deepened those fears.

Maduro’s desperation is perhaps well-founded: a poll today found that a majority of Venezuelans believe the country is on the wrong track and, if given the chance, most would now choose Henrique Capriles for president over Maduro. The uncertainty and repression surrounding the Venezuelan election has grown so egregious that President Obama has abstained from recognizing Maduro as the winner. The President observed that the “entire hemisphere has been watching the violence, the protests, the crackdowns on the opposition.” ABC reports:

President Barack Obama avoided recognizing the government of Venezuela during an interview with Univision, explaining that he was concerned about recent “crackdowns” against members of the Venezuelan opposition. He also said that recent reports suggest that basic principles of democracy and human rights are not being fully observed by Venezuela’s government.

Obama and the U.S. State Department are among a growing chorus calling for a full and transparent recount of the Venezuelan election, a chorus that now includes the Organization of American States, former Colombian president Alvaro Uribe, and internationally-respected human rights watchdog groups. Though Maduro may lack Hugo Chávez’s charisma and support among Venezuelans, he evinces the same contempt for the international community.  That contempt, combined with Maduro’s increasingly flagrant repression of his own people, mean that recent weeks for Venezuela have been turbulent indeed.

It’s hard to deny that Maduro’s “election” lacks legitimacy, before the eyes of both Venezuelans and the world. The partial audit the government agreed to is viewed as little more than a public relations gesture, and hardly sufficient to investigate the serious voting irregularities that led many to wonder whether Capriles was the election’s true winner.

As those doubts grow, Maduro has flexed the government’s authoritarian muscle to stifle dissent and cow the opposition into obedience. The state-run media – which recently tightened its grip on the airwaves by purchasing the previously-independent TV station Globovision – has dutifully propagandized on behalf of Maduro; the government recently severed the video feed of a Capriles speech, preventing the opposition leader from making his case to Venezuelans.

Such tactics haven’t prevented the opposition from making their voice heard. The din of “Cacerola” protests resounds throughout the country. Capriles has filed an official protest with the country’s Supreme Court which, comprised of Maduro’s political allies, is unlikely to intervene. Maduro and the PSUV have met these peaceful expressions of dissent, however, with strongman tactics. Capriles called off an opposition March after the government issued a veiled-threat of violence against the protestors. Opposition lawmakers have been barred from speaking in the National Assembly. And a bloody brawl in the National Assembly injured 17 opposition lawmakers. Now the government has intimated it may throw Capriles in jail.

Such tactics, though they fly in the face of democracy and human rights, at least demonstrate that Maduro is feeling the pressure. The Economist opined after the election that “without Chávez at the helm, chavismo, a noxious cocktail of populism, incompetence and repression, is a far less potent force.” Nicolas Maduro cannot strong-arm his way to legitimacy. But that hasn’t stopped him trying.

 
Apr
23
2013
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Amid Accusations of Fraud, Venezuela’s Officials Allow Vote Audit

gty capriles vote wg e1366725586108 Amid Accusations of Fraud, Venezuela’s Officials Allow Vote Audit

Courtesy of: Getty Photos

Political uncertainty was reignited in Venezuela last week after electoral authorities stunned the country by announcing Hugo Chávez’s handpicked successor as the winner of the election, but with a razor-thin margin of victory. The underperformance of Nicolás Maduro – combined with daily protests, allegations of fraud, international pressure and the numerous economic and social problems within the country – have descended Venezuela into significant tension and uncertainty.

Citing irregularities in the election process, opposition leader Henrique Capriles refused to recognize the election’s validity, demanding a full manual recount of the votes. Numerous international actors, including the United States, Spain and the Organization of American States sided with the opposition, declaring the recount an important and necessary step to instill confidence in the results. Denied the recount at first, opposition supporters around the country banged pots and pans in a traditional sign of protest. A large march to the Election Council was canceled, however, after Maduro ominously vowed to come down with a “firm hand” on opposition supporters.

After days of protests – and just hours before Nicolás Maduro’s swearing-in – the government announced on Friday that it would allow a full “audit” of the vote. Venezuela uses electronic voting machines to record votes that provide a printed receipt which is placed into a sealed ballot box. As is protocol, electoral authorities initially audited 54 percent of the electronic votes. Now, they have conceded to audit the remaining 46 percent. Though the expanded audit is not a full manual recount as originally requested, Capriles accepted the election authority’s ruling. The audit will involve counting the paper ballots in 12,000 voting machines at random stations to ensure they are consistent with the machine-tallied results.

Capriles has cited significant evidence for why a full recount must be undertaken. The opposition has asserted that among the irregularities, there were 535 malfunctioning voting machines, election monitors were forcibly removed from 286 centers and 564 centers evidenced government-assisted voting. Even more peculiar was that Maduro received more votes than Chávez in 1,176 polling stations, with some precincts seeing Maduro surpass the beloved leader by nearly 1,000 percent. In addition, more than 100,000 Venezuelans who turned 18 in the past six months were not given an opportunity to register to vote, while more than 500,000 Venezuelans living in exile have been denied voter registration. Given that Capriles only lost by approximately 200,000 votes, verification of fraud in any of these instances could reveal information that may reverse the final results or necessitate a partial repeat of the election.

The audit is expected to begin sometime this week, but will likely take approximately one month to complete. However, despite the Election Council’s decision to review the results, Maduro was formally sworn in on Friday. Analysts compared the event to a rally held in January on the day Chávez was to be sworn in, but unable to attend. Despite their leader’s absence, tens of thousands of people showed up to take the oath of office on his behalf. Maduro did not enjoy such treatment, however. While thousands of people showed up on Friday to welcome their new president, the crowd was a far cry from the one in January – another clear example that he lacks the charisma and popularity of “el Comandante.”

On Sunday, Maduro went even further, announcing his new cabinet. He showed little variation from Chávez, recycling former ministers into new positions and bringing current and former military officers to top administrative jobs. The greatest surprise was the change in the leadership of the Finance Ministry. Jorge Giordani, a declared Marxist and Chávez long-time ally who is often credited as the architect of the socialist economic policies and controls, will retain his post as planning minister but will no longer oversee the Finance Ministry.

Though tensions simmered after the Election Committee vowed to audit the results, both camps have yet to agree on its true meaning. While Maduro builds his government and begins to instill orders, a near majority of the country hopefully awaits the recount, desperately hoping for a new day in Venezuela.