Apr
12
2013
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Days From the Election, Capriles Makes His Final Appeal

Capriles election rally i 002 e1365772893413 Days From the Election, Capriles Makes His Final Appeal

Courtesy of: Agence France Presse

Last year, Henrique Capriles Radonski, the leader of Venezuela’s opposition, campaigned tirelessly against Hugo Chávez for Venezuela’s presidency. Although he lost that contest, Capriles broke new ground by winning an unprecedented 44 percent of the vote (over 6 million people) against the popular incumbent. This time around, Capriles is just as determined to defeat interim president Nicolás Maduro in the snap April election, and he is pushing himself to the limits to campaign for change in a fraction of the time. Capriles has once again unified the country’s opposition into a nation-wide campaign to oust Chávez’s would-be successor.

Earlier this week, hundreds of thousands of supporters filled the streets of Caracas to attend Capriles’ rally in the capital city. And, as in last year’s now-legendary “house-to-house” campaign, the opposition leader has stopped in dozens of other Venezuelan cities and towns to unite his base and attract more support. In death, Chávez remains extraordinarily popular among his base, but Capriles forcefully argues that Maduro is not the same person as his predecessor. In the campaign’s final days, Capriles works hard to draw contrasts between the late Chávez and the longtime political operative Maduro, who is closely intertwined with the Castros in Cuba.

Meanwhile, even while using the powers of the government to tilt the playing field in his favor, Maduro has sought to exploit Chávez supporters and turn their grief into votes. He copies Chávez’s campaign style, wearing athletic track jackets with the Venezuelan flag and spontaneously breaking out into songs (although Chávez’s charisma and public presence far outstripped the stolid Maduro’s). In bombastic speeches, he insults Capriles and the opposition with lies and slurs about Capriles’ heritage. Maduro’s slogans warn that supporting the opposition means “you don’t love your mother.” His campaign song says that a vote for the opposition means “you don’t have a heart, you’re like a dead man.” Every piece of campaign propaganda features Chávez—sometimes omitting any mention of Maduro himself. Some posters and t-shirts depict just the former president’s eyes, a thinly veiled reminder that Chávez is always watching.

Indeed, Chávez may have died over a month ago, but his image pervades the new presidential elections. Recently, one of Capriles’ televised speeches was interrupted by a national broadcast of Chávez’s last television appearance in which he emotionally asked Venezuelans to support Maduro as his political heir. And to rouse further turnout of the “sympathy vote,” the government is working to prolong Venezuelans’ hysteria and grief over Chávez’s death. The former president’s body traveled the country for weeks, holding funeral services and rallies, and a recent state-funded, animated commercial depicted Chávez’s welcome into heaven by famous Latin American socialists like Eva Perón and Che Guevara.

Maduro has worked so hard to protect his position as Chávez’s successor that he even claims their bond continues. At one campaign stop, he described a bizarre story about a visit from Chávez in the form of a little bird. According to Maduro, he communicated with the bird while at prayer at a chapel in the late president’s hometown. He told supporters that the bird blessed him and urged the campaign onward to victory. Now doubling down on the strategy, Maduro has made the bird part of his campaign rallies, wearing hats and marching in parades featuring the symbol of Chávez.

Meanwhile, Maduro attacks Capriles and his supporters with hostile name-calling and outlandish conspiracy theories. One campaign speech referred to the opposition as the “heirs of Hitler”—a particularly offensive comment since Capriles is of Jewish descent and his maternal grandparents immigrated to Venezuela to escape the Holocaust. Maduro alleged Capriles’ aides hired a group of Salvadoran mercenaries to assassinate him, and, after widespread blackouts in Venezuela, he accused the opposition of trying to sabotage the electrical grid. In a crazier allegation, Maduro spoke of an American plot to kill his opponent. He has also warned rural voters of a centuries-old curse that will afflict anyone who votes against him.

All this is evidence that Maduro will use every weapon in his government-funded arsenal to ensure he wins the election. The dark genius of Chávez’s “appointment” of Maduro last year was that it gave Maduro months to drive up his name recognition and play the part of president, while Capriles was barred from the public eye, forbidden from campaigning at all. Knowing the former president’s condition was graver than he let on, Maduro thus began the campaign with an enormous head start.

Meanwhile, he continues to press the advantages offered to him by the unfair playing field. Government workers are required to attend his rallies, many of which feature heavy participation from government ministries. The courts, electoral council and other so-called oversight bodies are packed with Chávez loyalists. On election day, all government housing tenants will receive free rides to the polls in addition to food and payment. Meanwhile, election watchers will not be surprised if buses in the opposition voters’ residential areas “mysteriously” break down.

Despite his disadvantages, Capriles remains enthusiastic and tirelessly optimistic as the campaign winds down to election day this Sunday. Maduro enjoys government power and control over the media – not to mention a three month head start – but polls show Capriles has narrowed the gap considerably since the campaign began. Capriles presents himself as the best way forward to combat the deplorable state of Venezuela’s current economy and civil society. High crime rates, soaring inflation and desperate food shortages are causing many Venezuelans to rethink their old loyalties. On election day, Capriles will ask for their votes. And he will need every one.

 
Jun
27
2012
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Venezuela poll shows tight race for Chavez

Reuters
June 27, 2012
By Brian Ellsworth

chavez 300x200 Venezuela poll shows tight race for Chavez

Courtesy of: Reuters / Carlos Garcia Rawlins

A new poll shows Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez only slightly ahead of challenger Henrique Capriles in the October 7 presidential election, welcome news for the opposition following numerous surveys showing Chavez with a wide lead.

The leftist former soldier is seeking re-election for a third term to extend his self-styled socialist revolution, and he has boosted his public appearances as his health seems to be recovering from a cancer diagnosed last year.

Capriles is seeking to tap into pent-up frustration among the OPEC nation’s voters who are weary of high crime, soaring prices and a continuing wave of nationalizations.

Respected pollster Consultores 21 said its most recent survey shows Chavez holding a 3.4 percentage point lead over Capriles in contrast to the double-digit lead that other public opinion groups have given Chavez in recent surveys.

The news highlights the frequent disparities among the polls in Venezuela, where public opinion researchers are often thrust to the center of the country’s polarized politics and face constant accusations of favoring one side or the other.

Consultores 21 President Luis Christiansen told Reuters the firm’s June survey showed 47.9 percent of voters intend to vote for Chavez compared with 44.5 percent for Capriles.

The poll has a margin of error of 2.4 percentage points and was carried out between June 2 and June 12, he said.

Reuters did not have access to the full poll, which was released only to Consultores 21 clients.

The results were largely in line with the firm’s March poll, which showed Chavez with 46.3 percent and Capriles at 44.8 percent. Though Chavez edged up slightly from that poll, the increase is within the margin of error.

Chavez is set to officially launch his candidacy on Sunday with rallies around the country. Earlier this month he brought hundreds of thousands of supporters into the center of Caracas to officially register his candidacy.

DIVERGENT POLLS

Capriles, who is also boosting his public appearances after a months-long “house-by-house tour” through Venezuela meant to win over supporters, has shrugged off negative poll readings and mocked pollsters as government lackeys.

“If you want to get into a booming business right now, do a poll, say the government is ahead, and you’ll see the money flowing in,” Capriles said during a press conference this week.

He has burnished his image of physical fitness during Chavez’s months of convalescence. He walked and jogged 10 km (6.2 miles) to register his own candidacy in the company of hundreds of thousands of supporters.

The last survey by pollster Datanalisis, which is also widely respected, showed Chavez with a 15.9 percentage point lead over Capriles.

Analysts have said part of the reason for the discrepancy between the Datanalisis and Consultores 21 figures is that the former indicates 28.7 percent of voters are undecided – a surprisingly high figure given the country’s polarized politics.

The Consultores 21 poll numbers suggest that a maximum of only 7.5 percent of the country’s voters are undecided.

Government leaders were quick to interpret the poll as beneficial to Chavez.

“It’s significant that that particular pollster, which is so linked to (the opposition), has joined other pollsters that consistently show the patriotic candidate as the favorite,” said Information Minister Andres Izarra, referring to Chavez by a catch-phrase frequently used by party members.

Polls are historically controversial in Venezuela. One opposition exit poll in a 2004 recall referendum showed Chavez losing by around 20 percentage points – almost the exact opposite of the result later certified by electoral authorities.

(Additional reporting by Andrew Cawthorne; Editing by Anthony Boadle)

To read this article on Reuters, please click here.