Jun
7
2013
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In Case You Missed It… Articles Roundup Week of 6/7/13

jaua kerry.jpg.520.360.thumb  e1370640648452 In Case You Missed It… Articles Roundup Week of 6/7/13

Courtesy of: Associated Press

This week: Venezuela’s economy slows sharply in the first quarter, signaling a difficult year for the already struggling nation; in a clear sign that food shortages are worsening, restrictions on the sale of 20 basic goods are set to begin next week in Venezuela’s most populous state; Telefonica plans to boost spending in Venezuela to avoid sitting on cash that may lose a third of its value if a second currency devaluation occurs this year; Venezuela’s inflation hits a record monthly high of 6.1 percent in May, taking its annualized rate to a startling 35.2 percent; meanwhile, pressure mounts on the government to accelerate the approval of foreign currency. After months of tensions, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry meets with Venezuelan foreign minister Elías Jaua during an OAS meeting; U.S. filmmaker Timothy Trace, who had been arrested earlier this year, is released and expelled from the country; Venezuela’s opposition hits the diplomatic road, traveling abroad to pressure the government following April’s disputed election; and the sale of Venezuela’s largest private media group reignites concerns that the government is attempting to silence the press, masking falling popular support and deteriorating economy. The number of cases submitted to the ICC because of arbitrary arrests and power abuses in Venezuela amount to 194; Venezuelan attorney rejects international allegations of torture by the Maduro government; and Venezuela’s opposition says it will submit records of 180,125 dead people that remain eligible to vote.

Venezuela’s economy slows sharply as ‘stagflation’ looms, Reuters

Venezuela’s economy slowed sharply in the first quarter, the central bank said on Friday, auguring a difficult year for the OPEC nation that is already struggling with galloping inflation and shortages of basic consumer goods.

Rationing of 20 products to begin in Venezuelan state next week, Associated Press

In a sign Venezuela’s food shortages could be worsening, restrictions on the sale of 20 basic items including toilet paper and chicken subject to price controls are set to begin next week in its most populous state, officials said Tuesday.

Telefonica Said to Plan for Another Venezuela Devaluation, Bloomberg

Telefonica SA (TEF) plans to boost spending in Venezuela to avoid sitting on cash that may lose a third of its value as speculation mounts that the government may devalue the bolivar for a second time this year, according to a person familiar with the matter.

Venezuela inflation soars to record monthly high 6.1 pct, Reuters

Venezuela’s inflation hit a record monthly high of 6.1 percent in May, compounding new President Nicolas Maduro’s economic headaches less than two months after taking office in the OPEC member country.

Toilet Paper-Less Venezuela Fueling Bond Sale Talk: Andes Credit, Bloomberg

Venezuelan Finance Minister Nelson Merentes is planning the nation’s first overseas meetings with creditors in nine years as a scarcity of dollars exacerbates shortages of everything from toilet paper to soap.

Kerry Meets With Official of Venezuela to Set Talks, New York Times

After months of tensions between the United States and Venezuela, Secretary of State John Kerry met on Wednesday with the Venezuelan foreign minister, Elías Jaua, in Antigua, Guatemala, and announced the start of talks aimed at improving relations between the two countries.

Venezuela frees, expels U.S. filmmaker, CNN

A U.S. filmmaker arrested in Venezuela and accused of instigating unrest was released from prison and expelled from the country, his attorney told CNN affiliate Globovisión.

Venezuela’s opposition hits the diplomatic road, Foreign Policy

Last week, Venezuelan opposition leader Henrique Capriles made his first trip abroad following last April’s disputed election.

Fears for Venezuela press freedom as critic is silenced, Financial Times

The sale of Venezuela’s largest private media group has reignited concerns that the government is attempting to muzzle the press to mask falling popular support amid a deteriorating economy and widespread shortages.

Demonstration is now considered a crime, El Universal

A total number of 194 cases of youngsters and minors who were arbitrarily detained and abused or tortured by state police officers and para-police groups, have been substantiated and submitted by the team of lawyers grouped in the Venezuelan Criminal Forum to the International Criminal Court based in The Hague.

Attorney General rejects international complaints against Venezuela, El Universal

Venezuelan Attorney General Luisa Ortega Díaz stated on Thursday that the Venezuelan State has acted promptly in specific cases related to violation of human rights.

Opposition introduces register of voters including 180,125 dead, El Universal

Experts from the opposition Unified Democratic Panel (MUD) plan to submit this week to the National Electoral Council (CNE) data of 180,125 dead people that remain enabled to vote.

 
Apr
15
2013
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Venezuela’s Election Leaves Unexpectedly Narrow Margin of Victory

s1.reutersmedia.net  Venezuela’s Election Leaves Unexpectedly Narrow Margin of Victory

Courtesy of: Reuters

Millions of Venezuelans headed to the polls on Sunday to elect a new president for the second time in six months. Though expectations were low heading into the vote – especially among the country’s opposition – an unexpectedly close race has reignited tensions, uncertainty and indeed, hope.

Though Venezuelans had elected Hugo Chávez just last October, a new election was triggered after the former president lost a long battle to cancer in March. The government positioned Nicolás Maduro, the country’s vice-president and Chávez’s handpicked successor, as their new candidate. The opposition once again chose their leader and former candidate, Henrique Capriles.

Nicolas Maduro, in his capacity as acting president, enjoyed a de facto three month head start on the campaign. Capriles, on the other hand, was forced to campaign only during the formal period, which totaled 10 days. Meanwhile, the Venezuelan government did all it could to ensure Hugo Chávez’s memory was never far from the campaign trail. Maduro and the government invoked his image, name and voice in every single rally, trying to seize on the sympathy vote and keep open the subliminal connection with the powerful “Comandante.” Capriles and the opposition sought to draw a distinction between Chávez and Maduro, reminding Venezuelans that Chávez’s supposed “successor” is little more than an un-charismatic and power-hungry former underling of Chávez himself.

Maudro’s control over the country’s media and public resources proved to be an enormous advantage over this short campaign. While Maduro enjoyed more than 65 hours of state media coverage, Capriles received a paltry 23 minutes. In addition, during the auditing of voting machines, the opposition uncovered evidence that the government party had access to the secret codes needed to sabotage the voting process. International observers spoken out against the unfair playing field, also noting the egregious conflict of interest posed by the “independent” National Electoral Council composed of five officials – four who publicly support Maduro.

Given these advantages, analysts and pollsters favored Maduro to win Sunday’s vote by a significant margin. However, in a later than expected announcement, election authorities stunned Venezuelans, announcing Maduro as the winner, but with a margin of victory of only 1.59 percent or around 235,000 votes. The body announced around midnight that Maduro had received 50.6 percent of the vote and Capriles 49.1 percent.

Immediately after, Maduro took the stage to declare victory. The votes, however, clearly reflected the country’s serious doubts about the acting president’s ability to govern. In a brief, 10-day campaign, Capriles, who was predicted to lose by a similar margin as in October of 2012, managed to recover nearly all of 1.5 million votes he lost to Chávez just six months ago. The narrow margin – along with thousands of documented irregularities in the voting process – prompted Capriles and the opposition to call for a full recount of the votes.  Maduro announced he would accept the full recount. One must bear in mind, however, that this recount will be conducted by the Maduro-friendly National Electoral Council.

If the recount suggests a closer margin or reveals that Capriles was actually the winner, Venezuelans can expect a tumultuous time ahead. However, if electoral council upholds the reported results, the task ahead for Maduro is indeed daunting. He already faces a devastated country – left behind by 14 years of socialist rule – with a budget deficit of roughly 15 percent of annual economic output, inflation of almost 30 percent, extreme shortages, violent crime rates among the worst in the world, regular power outages, and a sclerotic state oil industry.

The results will also embolden the political opposition and undermine Maduro’s stature within Chávez’s former supporters. As a result, the political situation within the ruling socialist party will become more tempestuous. Maduro already lacks Chávez’s emotional connection with the nation’s poor; any fiscal retrenchment, therefore, could create a political backlash for the new president. Furthermore, this weak political mandate may spur divisions within the government’s political party. As memories of Chávez fade, other powerful figures like Assembly President Diosdado Cabello may challenge Maduro for primacy within the party.

Maduro’s narrow win has been termed by many a “Pyrrhic victory,” as does nothing to avoid the economic and political reckoning Venezuela’s ruling socialist party are heading for. Most analysts believe Venezuela has less than a year before the festering economic problems turn into a full-blown crisis.  With a sinking economy, a divided political party, and a confident and growing opposition, Venezuela seems set for contentious – and pivotal – days ahead.

 
Apr
12
2013
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Days From the Election, Capriles Makes His Final Appeal

Capriles election rally i 002 e1365772893413 Days From the Election, Capriles Makes His Final Appeal

Courtesy of: Agence France Presse

Last year, Henrique Capriles Radonski, the leader of Venezuela’s opposition, campaigned tirelessly against Hugo Chávez for Venezuela’s presidency. Although he lost that contest, Capriles broke new ground by winning an unprecedented 44 percent of the vote (over 6 million people) against the popular incumbent. This time around, Capriles is just as determined to defeat interim president Nicolás Maduro in the snap April election, and he is pushing himself to the limits to campaign for change in a fraction of the time. Capriles has once again unified the country’s opposition into a nation-wide campaign to oust Chávez’s would-be successor.

Earlier this week, hundreds of thousands of supporters filled the streets of Caracas to attend Capriles’ rally in the capital city. And, as in last year’s now-legendary “house-to-house” campaign, the opposition leader has stopped in dozens of other Venezuelan cities and towns to unite his base and attract more support. In death, Chávez remains extraordinarily popular among his base, but Capriles forcefully argues that Maduro is not the same person as his predecessor. In the campaign’s final days, Capriles works hard to draw contrasts between the late Chávez and the longtime political operative Maduro, who is closely intertwined with the Castros in Cuba.

Meanwhile, even while using the powers of the government to tilt the playing field in his favor, Maduro has sought to exploit Chávez supporters and turn their grief into votes. He copies Chávez’s campaign style, wearing athletic track jackets with the Venezuelan flag and spontaneously breaking out into songs (although Chávez’s charisma and public presence far outstripped the stolid Maduro’s). In bombastic speeches, he insults Capriles and the opposition with lies and slurs about Capriles’ heritage. Maduro’s slogans warn that supporting the opposition means “you don’t love your mother.” His campaign song says that a vote for the opposition means “you don’t have a heart, you’re like a dead man.” Every piece of campaign propaganda features Chávez—sometimes omitting any mention of Maduro himself. Some posters and t-shirts depict just the former president’s eyes, a thinly veiled reminder that Chávez is always watching.

Indeed, Chávez may have died over a month ago, but his image pervades the new presidential elections. Recently, one of Capriles’ televised speeches was interrupted by a national broadcast of Chávez’s last television appearance in which he emotionally asked Venezuelans to support Maduro as his political heir. And to rouse further turnout of the “sympathy vote,” the government is working to prolong Venezuelans’ hysteria and grief over Chávez’s death. The former president’s body traveled the country for weeks, holding funeral services and rallies, and a recent state-funded, animated commercial depicted Chávez’s welcome into heaven by famous Latin American socialists like Eva Perón and Che Guevara.

Maduro has worked so hard to protect his position as Chávez’s successor that he even claims their bond continues. At one campaign stop, he described a bizarre story about a visit from Chávez in the form of a little bird. According to Maduro, he communicated with the bird while at prayer at a chapel in the late president’s hometown. He told supporters that the bird blessed him and urged the campaign onward to victory. Now doubling down on the strategy, Maduro has made the bird part of his campaign rallies, wearing hats and marching in parades featuring the symbol of Chávez.

Meanwhile, Maduro attacks Capriles and his supporters with hostile name-calling and outlandish conspiracy theories. One campaign speech referred to the opposition as the “heirs of Hitler”—a particularly offensive comment since Capriles is of Jewish descent and his maternal grandparents immigrated to Venezuela to escape the Holocaust. Maduro alleged Capriles’ aides hired a group of Salvadoran mercenaries to assassinate him, and, after widespread blackouts in Venezuela, he accused the opposition of trying to sabotage the electrical grid. In a crazier allegation, Maduro spoke of an American plot to kill his opponent. He has also warned rural voters of a centuries-old curse that will afflict anyone who votes against him.

All this is evidence that Maduro will use every weapon in his government-funded arsenal to ensure he wins the election. The dark genius of Chávez’s “appointment” of Maduro last year was that it gave Maduro months to drive up his name recognition and play the part of president, while Capriles was barred from the public eye, forbidden from campaigning at all. Knowing the former president’s condition was graver than he let on, Maduro thus began the campaign with an enormous head start.

Meanwhile, he continues to press the advantages offered to him by the unfair playing field. Government workers are required to attend his rallies, many of which feature heavy participation from government ministries. The courts, electoral council and other so-called oversight bodies are packed with Chávez loyalists. On election day, all government housing tenants will receive free rides to the polls in addition to food and payment. Meanwhile, election watchers will not be surprised if buses in the opposition voters’ residential areas “mysteriously” break down.

Despite his disadvantages, Capriles remains enthusiastic and tirelessly optimistic as the campaign winds down to election day this Sunday. Maduro enjoys government power and control over the media – not to mention a three month head start – but polls show Capriles has narrowed the gap considerably since the campaign began. Capriles presents himself as the best way forward to combat the deplorable state of Venezuela’s current economy and civil society. High crime rates, soaring inflation and desperate food shortages are causing many Venezuelans to rethink their old loyalties. On election day, Capriles will ask for their votes. And he will need every one.